Medlife: Fourth Covid wave is closer than we thought
Although the share of people who have had Covid-19 is higher than the officially estimated, Romania is not prepared for a new wave of the pandemic, according to a report by private medical services provider Medicover.
"It is only a matter of time before Romania goes through the fourth wave of the pandemic, this time caused by the Delta strain, which is proving to be much more contagious. The risks are very high due to the very small number of people vaccinated compared to other countries where the wave has started," said Mihai Marcu, president and CEO of MedLife Group, quoted by Bursa.
He stresses that the vaccinated population in Romania is only 30%, less than half of the average EU level.
Although a large number of Romanians had Covid and either didn't report or didn't know, this may not help them in the case of a new wave, the study shows.
The study shows a 60% degree of collective immunization at the urban level in Romania, a share that can explain the dramatic decrease in new cases in recent months.
The analysis indicates that the collective immunization, acquired either after exposure to Covid-19 infection or after vaccination, is 64% in the large urban area of Romania, respectively 59% in small urban areas.
Although the figures seem close, there is a big difference in the vaccination rate and the actual number of infections between the two areas. According to Medlife, half of the population of the small urban area and one-third of the population of the large urban area contracted the disease, nine times more, respectively three times more than the official statistics.
According to MedLife doctors, among people with a history of Covid-19 but who have not been vaccinated, only 6% of the inhabitants of large cities and 2% of the inhabitants of small cities have a neutralizing antibody titer (> = 3950 AU / mL). Instead, those who went through the disease and were vaccinated developed that titer of over 80% neutralizing antibodies.
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