UniCredit maintains Romania’s 1% growth forecast despite recession risks
UniCredit Bank maintained its forecast for Romania’s economy to grow by 1% in 2026 despite weaker-than-expected first-quarter data, while warning that the country faces overlapping risks from recession, inflation, and political…
iulian ernst · Journalist
· Updated · 2 min read

UniCredit Bank maintained its forecast for Romania’s economy to grow by 1% in 2026 despite weaker-than-expected first-quarter data, while warning that the country faces overlapping risks from recession, inflation, and political uncertainty, according to a research report cited by Cursdeguvernare.ro.
UniCredit’s assessment contrasts with the more pessimistic outlook recently published by Erste Group, which revised its 2026 forecast for Romania to a 0.3% contraction from a previous estimate of 0.3% growth.


