If Romania would organize parliamentary elections in this period, the National Liberal Party (PNL) would win with a score of 40.1% while the Social Democratic Party PSD would get 36.3% of the votes, according to a recent INSCOP survey. However, none of the two big political parties would have enough seats in the Parliament to form a Government by themselves and would have to seek alliances.

Romanians will vote for a new Parliament in November next year. Until then, Romania will also have elections for the local administration nextsummer.

The number of Romanians who would vote for PNL has continued to decrease despite the opportunities offered by the resignation of the PSD Government led by Victor Ponta, which came after the tragic incident at Colectiv club. PNL's score has declined by almost 2 percentage points, from 42% in September. In April, PNL's score was even higher, at 44.7%.

On the other hand, after a long period of decline, PSD’s score in the polls has increased by 1.3% compared to results registered in the survey conducted in September (35%). However, PSD is still down compared to April, when the party had a 39.1% score.

The Magyar Democratic Union (UDMR) would get a score of 5.1%, followed by the Popular Movement Party (PMP) with 4.4%, and the Liberals and Democrats Alliance (ALDE) with 4%.

The other parties would get a score of below 3%: the National Union for Romania’s Progress (UNPR) – 2.6%, M10 – 2.4%, the Social Romanian Party (PSRO) – 2.1%, the Great Romania Party (PRM) – 1.1%, and the Christian Democratic National Peasants’ Party (PNTCD) – 1%.

More than 44% of the respondents didn’t indicate a voting option which might show the increasing dissatisfaction with the current political class and the traditional parties in Romania.

In terms of gender, 41.6% of men would vote for PNL and 34% for PSD while 38.1% of women would vote for PNL and 39.2% for PSD.

More than half of those aged 18 and 34 would give their votes to PNL, and only 26.3% would vote for PSD. The situation is similar in the 35-49 group age: 43.5% - PNL, 26.3% - PSD. However, when it comes to those aged between 50 and 64, the situation starts to change, as 37.3% would vote for PNL and 36.7% for PSD. The Social Democratic Party would get a higher number of votes (55.6%) among those aged over 65 when compared to PNL (27.1%).

Slightly over 36% of the Romanians would vote for a new party while 30% haven’t answered to this question.

The study was conducted by INSCOP between November 26 and December 2, at the request of Adevarul newspaper. More than 1,000 people took part in the survey.

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Irina Popescu, irina.popescu@romania-insider.com