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Iulian Ernst
Senior Editor

Iulian studied physics at the University of Bucharest, and he sees himself as a physicist in the broadest sense of the word. He also studied economics at Charles University in Prague and Central European University in Budapest, after a master’s program in business administration at Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies. Since recently, he’s been exploring coding and data analysis for business and economics. As a freelancer, he worked for nearly two decades as an analyst for ISI Emerging Markets, Euromonitor International, Business New Europe, but also as a consultant for OMV Petrom and UkrAgroConsult. Iulian was part of the founding team of Ziarul Financiar. At Romania Insider, which he joined in 2018, he is reviewing the latest economic developments for the premium bulletins and newsletters. He would gladly discuss topics such as macroeconomics, emerging markets, Prague, energy sector including renewable, Led Zeppelin, financial services, as well as tech start-ups and innovative technologies. Email him at [email protected] 

 

Main Romanian lender sees 2.5% annual economic growth over 2020-2022

Romania's economy could see an average annual growth rate of 2.5% over the 2020-2022 period, according to Andrei Rădulescu, chief economist of Banca Transilvania.

The three-year period captures last year's plunge, followed by the recovery expected in 2021-2022.

The key driver would be the 6.7% advance of productive investments. Rădulescu also mentions the real financing costs remaining at a low level and implementing the European Union's programs for 2021-2027 as growth drivers, Ziarul Financiar reported.

"The increase in productive investments will have a driving impact for the other components of GDP, private consumption will have an average annual rate of 2.1% between 2020-2022, according to our scenario."

Andrei Rădulescu also estimates an increase in government consumption with an average annual rate of 4.5% in 2020-2022, supported by European programs.

Still, his forecast is significantly more optimistic than those of international financial institutions. For example, the World Bank estimates that the Romanian economy will grow by 3.5% this year, after a contraction of 5% in 2020, and in 2022 economic growth will accelerate to 4.1%. Such figures are consistent with average annual growth rates of under 1%.

[email protected]

(Photo source: Antonyesse/Dreamstime.com)

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Profile picture for user iuliane
Iulian Ernst
Senior Editor

Iulian studied physics at the University of Bucharest, and he sees himself as a physicist in the broadest sense of the word. He also studied economics at Charles University in Prague and Central European University in Budapest, after a master’s program in business administration at Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies. Since recently, he’s been exploring coding and data analysis for business and economics. As a freelancer, he worked for nearly two decades as an analyst for ISI Emerging Markets, Euromonitor International, Business New Europe, but also as a consultant for OMV Petrom and UkrAgroConsult. Iulian was part of the founding team of Ziarul Financiar. At Romania Insider, which he joined in 2018, he is reviewing the latest economic developments for the premium bulletins and newsletters. He would gladly discuss topics such as macroeconomics, emerging markets, Prague, energy sector including renewable, Led Zeppelin, financial services, as well as tech start-ups and innovative technologies. Email him at [email protected] 

 

Main Romanian lender sees 2.5% annual economic growth over 2020-2022

Romania's economy could see an average annual growth rate of 2.5% over the 2020-2022 period, according to Andrei Rădulescu, chief economist of Banca Transilvania.

The three-year period captures last year's plunge, followed by the recovery expected in 2021-2022.

The key driver would be the 6.7% advance of productive investments. Rădulescu also mentions the real financing costs remaining at a low level and implementing the European Union's programs for 2021-2027 as growth drivers, Ziarul Financiar reported.

"The increase in productive investments will have a driving impact for the other components of GDP, private consumption will have an average annual rate of 2.1% between 2020-2022, according to our scenario."

Andrei Rădulescu also estimates an increase in government consumption with an average annual rate of 4.5% in 2020-2022, supported by European programs.

Still, his forecast is significantly more optimistic than those of international financial institutions. For example, the World Bank estimates that the Romanian economy will grow by 3.5% this year, after a contraction of 5% in 2020, and in 2022 economic growth will accelerate to 4.1%. Such figures are consistent with average annual growth rates of under 1%.

[email protected]

(Photo source: Antonyesse/Dreamstime.com)

Normal
 

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