Erste Group hopes statistical base and carry-over effects to boost Romania’s economy in 2025
GDP growth is projected to recover to 2.8% y/y in 2025 and 3.4% in 2026, from 0.8% in 2024, under a no-policy-change scenario, aided by statistical base and carry-over effects, Erste Group’s latest macro update on Romania reads, admitting…
iulian ernst · Journalist
· Updated · 2 min read
GDP growth is projected to recover to 2.8% y/y in 2025 and 3.4% in 2026, from 0.8% in 2024, under a no-policy-change scenario, aided by statistical base and carry-over effects, Erste Group’s latest macro update on Romania reads, admitting that “the risks are clearly skewed to the downside.”
Erste Group issues a broadly optimistic forecast based on the assumption that political developments are not far from the “business as usual scenario” envisaged before the presidential and parliamentary elections.
