PNRR may boost Romania’s GDP by 1% this year, SAFE may add 1.4%-3.5% by 2030
Assuming full absorption of the money earmarked to Romania under the National Recovery and Resilience Plan (PNRR) – meaning some 2.7% of GDP, roughly half of the entire PNRR budget – by the end of this year, the PNRR money would contribute…
iulian ernst · Journalist
· Updated · 2 min read
Assuming full absorption of the money earmarked to Romania under the National Recovery and Resilience Plan (PNRR) – meaning some 2.7% of GDP, roughly half of the entire PNRR budget – by the end of this year, the PNRR money would contribute 1 percentage point (pp) to the country’s economic growth in 2026, according to a working paper published by the National Bank of Romania (BNR).
The estimate extrapolates the economic performance during the first years of PNRR implementation (2022-2024), and the authors call for caution, pointing to methodological limitations of the model – furthermore adding that the full absorption hypothesis is a strong assumption.
